why both trump and harris see clear paths to victory
As America goes to the polls in what is likely to be one of the most hotly contested presidential elections in modern history, both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have cast their final bids to the electorate. The fight for the presidency has heated up ‘as polls tied up in key swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin’. New polls show that the race is still too close to call, and a two or three-point swing could put the candidacy of either candidate over the top.
The Republican candidate’s campaign has strengthened in recent weeks as economic indicators emerge with US job growth declining steeply in October. The economy created only 12,000 new jobs in the previous month, much lower than forecasts, and rising inflation remains a problem for most Americans. Another area that has appealed to the voters is Trump’s approach to the issue of illegals; that is, people crossing the US-Mexico border illegally has increased significantly under the current presidency.
Trump has faced legal issues, but his base has not wavered greatly as it continues to keep a percentage above 40%. His approach to his campaign is that he had no wars during his regime while the world was facing wars at the moment. A majority of the voters especially the male voters that listen to popular podcasts, consider Trump to pose leadership than Harris in this case.
The Democratic nominee has campaigned on the defense of democracy and women’s rights with abortion emerging as a key issue of concern once the Supreme Court made its ruling. Harris has ben fundraising much more actively than Trump since she became the candidate in July, which allows for more extensive advertising coverage and field campaigns in states.
Harris is well positioned given that core constituencies for her – college voters and the elderly usually have higher voter turnouts. Furthermore, she builds on the performance of the prior administration: Biden won the election with seven million more votes than Trump, indicating strong support for the Democratic party.
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