Tag: 2020

Trump does not give up: “Will appeal”
Americas

Trump does not give up: “Will appeal”

Trump does not give up: A Pennsylvania federal judge rejected Donald Trump’s lawsuit to suspend the certification of millions of votes in the state. According to Judge Matthew Brann, the case, based on allegations of irregularities, is “unfounded” as no merit legal arguments and speculative accusations were presented to the court. “In the United States of America, this cannot justify depriving a single voter of the right to vote, let alone all voters in its sixth most populous state,” the judge wrote. Joe Biden in Pennsylvania has an 80,000-vote lead. Trump, however, does not give up. “Will appeal!” He tweeted, announcing he will appeal to the Pennsylvania Third Circuit Court to eventually bring the case in front the Supreme Court.

The recount in Georgia

His legal team also called for a new recount in Georgia. After the state was awarded to Biden with a lead of 12,284 votes, compared to about 14,000 votes in the first count. A possible second recount will not be manual but will take place by scanning the cards. For the past 28 years, Georgia had always gone to the Republicans, the last Democratic candidate before Biden to win it was Bill Clinton in 1992. Already on Friday, President Trump received two setbacks. The authorities of Georgia certified the subtle victory by President-elect Joe Biden, and the Michigan Republicans said after a meeting in the White House that they had found nothing to justify the reversal of the vote in their state.

The lost appeals

Trump has already lost or withdrawn about thirty appeals aimed at blocking the proclamation of the Democratic challenger after the presidential elections on November 3, but that in Pennsylvania is perhaps the most significant defeat.

The endless campaign on Twitter

Trump’s rain of tweets is dense. “Dominion-izing the vote,” he writes in bursts: part one, two, and three of conspiracy theories for a vote he does not want to accept. The social network places red labels: “Untrusted content” writes under each presidential tweet. But the discussion is underway. User comments mostly urge Trump to surrender.

 “Why is Joe Biden rapidly forming” a new administration “when my investigators have found hundreds of thousands of illegal votes sufficient to overturn” the presidential outcome “in at least four states, and thus have enough votes to win the election? ” Trump asks. Then he hopes that lawmakers and courts will have the courage to do what necessary to maintain the integrity of our elections and America. “The world is watching,” he adds. 

Trump does not intend to step aside. According to the Washington Post, he could announce his candidacy for the 2024 presidential elections by the end of the year. He would explain to his collaborators that he wanted to remain an “omnipresent force” in politics and the media. Only one president in the history of the United States has managed to get re-elected after being defeated at the end of his first term: it happened to Grover Cleveland in 1892. Except that Cleveland belonged to the Democratic Party and was a strict observer of the American Constitution.

Biden on Twitter

The president elected remains composed. He still tweeted that of election day. The others are measured, one per day, one topic at a time. Calls for the transition, peaceful, at least to begin. “Anyone who wants a Covid-19 test should be able to get one. Period.”

The geopolitical challenges for the U.S. 2020
Geopolitics

The geopolitical challenges for the U.S. 2020

The geopolitical challenges for the U.S. 2020: Although not yet accepted by Trump, the victory of Joe Biden appears to be quite consolidated, with about 3% more voters than his opponent and having surpassed the 270 main seats, is preparing to lead the United States for the next four years. A divided, angry America, worried about the persistence of the COVID-19 pandemic. Undecided whether to follow the Trump slogan “America first” or whether to resume the thread of multilateralism. That has ensured its support for everything from the West for the past 75 years. An America that has a deep need for reconciliation, especially with itself and its contradictions.

Trump’s presidency has achieved successes in both economic and foreign policy, such as growth in employment and an increase in national GDP, or as the agreements that led Israel and some Arab states to initiate diplomatic relations. Another success of his is undoubtedly that of not having started any new war, thus sparing the sending of young people on fighting fronts far from home. That, however, was not always perceived as the result of a precise strategic vision. But only as the impulse to make the selfish interest of his country. A role interpreted with sometimes questionable criteria and often very not very diplomatic. Many say that in his four-year presidency, Trump has shown all his narcissism and authoritarianism. All his boundless ambition and his aptitude for functional falsehood.

For his part, Joe Biden was able to wisely recover the votes of some parts of the working class and the educated and moderate middle classes, preferences that did not go to Clinton in 2016. Biden then managed to focus consensus of ethnic minorities. Despite some superficial analyses on Florida, well over 70% of Hispanics voted for him, along with about 90% of African-American voters. To these voters were added the discontented by a conduct of public affairs marked by excessive presidential personalism. Americans also worried about the crazy handling of the pandemic by Trump. Who, in this regard, seemed unwilling to listen to the advice of scientists and to apply the most elementary rules of common sense.

Domestically, the elected President will have to reconcile the people. He will have to lead the Americans to find common ground for coexistence. That is not an easy goal given the ethnic fragmentation and the interest of some supremacist fringes in maintaining social tension. There are also important issues with significant social implications, such as the reduction of inequalities, the fight against the pandemic, and the extension of health care, the latter so dear to Barack Obama, but which touches many sensitivities that effectively oppose. In foreign policy, the diplomatic suitcase of Joe Biden contains delicate international issues, with profound implications for future geopolitical assets. In this context, he has already announced his will to return to multilateralism. That probably means a return to the WHO and hopefully also to UNESCO. The U.S. will also re-implement the Paris climate agreements. But we can exclude temptations of unilaterally respond to global challenges.

However, this should not lead to thinking of a radical revision of the US geopolitical strategy. It will not mean that America will start doing what others want. To combat environmental degradation, for example, it will have to ensure that it does not affect too much the enormous US interests in the use of fossil energy. Washington will therefore continue to pursue its interests but, perhaps, also reconciling some needs of its partners to strengthen that close transatlantic relationship which, in the last four years, had cooled somewhat as a victim of Trumpian assertiveness. The real strength of the US does not lie in the economy or technology. But in the ability to unite and keep close allies. European first and foremost, by granting the extension of its nuclear safety umbrella and obtaining political and military collaboration and support, according to the possibilities of each ally. 

And this is where the currently hottest dossiers come in, as the relations with Russia, China, Iran, and the US role in the Mediterranean. Once again, a sea that is seething between various claims on maritime borders, legal disputes, muscle demonstrations, actions in contrast with the provisions of the UN, jihadist threat, and the drama of illegal immigration. It is therefore foreseeable that the first visits abroad of Biden will be n the main European capitals. Where he can be convinced that the world match can be played more effectively if the main European allies are included in the first team, and not kept on the bench or, worse, not summoned. In this case, it would be a clear sign of the reversal of the trend of Trump. He has never bothered to disguise his contempt for the European institution, flaunting his desire to undermine its cohesion, sometimes succeeding.

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